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RayJ’s Forecast

Investment firm, Raymond James (RayJ), recently issued their A & D (Acquisition and Divestiture) Quarterly for the fourth quarter of 2015. It contains a retrospective of last year, and more importantly, their price forecast for 2016. RayJ sees the first half of 2015 in a positive light, but rising supply, concerns about falling demand, and… Read More


Hedge Contracts Expiring

Hedge contracts enable oil and gas producers to lock in specific prices for their future production. Conversely, these arrangements enable buyers to anticipate a stable supply of energy at a known price.  If you are an operator, and think prices are uncertain, or likely to decline in the future, you would be inclined to hedge… Read More


Time for a Turnaround

“World Oil” reports that famous hedge fund manager, Andrew Hall, has told his investors that despite a dismal 2015, he thinks crude is ripe for a rebound. Hall, whose Astenbeck Commodities fund lost 35% in value last year, still manages $2.1 billion in assets. However, when asked about these losses Hall observed that an uncertain… Read More


The Curse of Cheap Credit

There is an old saying that leverage is a two edged sword: it makes good times look better, and bad times look worse.  When oil prices were strong and the sky seemed the limit, using other people’s money appeared to make sense.  From 2004 to 2014 the high yield bond market doubled, but for oil… Read More


Barnett Doubles in Size

“Rigzone” reports that in 2003 the U. S. Geological Survey (USGS) assessed the undiscovered technically recoverable reserves of the Barnett Shale in Bend Arch-Fort Worth basin, based on the vertical drilling technology in use at that time. Natural gas reserves were estimated at 26.2 trillion cubic feet (tcf) and natural gas liquids at 1 billion… Read More