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Vitol’s View

“World Oil” reports that Vitol, the world’ largest independent trader, sees the oil production of OPEC and its allies as “lower for longer” as they try to reduce the global glut and raise prices. Kho Hui Meng, the head of Vitol’s Asia group, thinks that production quotas must be extended beyond mid-year, just to keep… Read More


Equilibrium?

In a recent article in “Oil Voice” entitled “Oil Prices Plunge to Where They Should Be”, Art Berman makes the case that the recent drop to $45 is merely a correction based on market fundamentals. He contends that given production, inventory levels, and demand, this is just the market seeking balance. Berman rejects the conventional… Read More

May 10, 2017 • Oil and Gas, Pricing

Major Improvement

Independent shale operators have proven quite resourceful and resilient in dealing with the oil price collapse. By cutting costs and cancelling projects, they were able to rebound and are capable of making a profit at current, or even lower, prices.  Consequently they are largely responsible for driving the current level of activity in the Permian… Read More


How Low is the Floor?

European natural gas buyers have had access to Norwegian pipeline gas as well as LNG (liquefied natural gas) from Algeria and Qatar. However, the Europeans have always relied more heavily on pipeline gas imports from Russia than they would have liked.  This dependence on Russia has made them susceptible to economic and geopolitical blackmail.  Now… Read More


More Rigs, Less Gas

“Rigzone” reports that while the number of rigs looking for natural gas has nearly doubled since last August, actual natural gas production in the lower 49 states has dropped by 1.1%. High inventories as a result of an unseasonably warm winter, steep decline curves for major gas fields, and gun shy operators have all led… Read More